Will the us ban tiktok in 2026?
40%leaning no · about a 1-in-3 chance
Right now the crowd puts will the us ban tiktok in 2026 at 40% — about a 1-in-3 chance of happening (leaning no). It's been climbing lately, and the markets don't fully agree yet, though not much money is riding on it.
- Up 4 points over the past week (about 3 points a day) — the odds are hardening toward yes.
- The markets disagree by up to 57 points — genuine uncertainty, not a settled call.
- Only $53k is riding on this — light money, so the number can move easily.
- This read comes only from money-backed markets, so there's no second type of crowd to cross-check it.
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