Will the us ban tiktok in 2026?
33%unlikely · about a 1-in-3 chance
Right now the crowd puts will the us ban tiktok in 2026 at 33% — about a 1-in-3 chance of happening (unlikely). It's been climbing lately, and the markets broadly line up, though not much money is riding on it.
- Up 4 points over the past week — the odds are hardening toward yes.
- Only one market is available, so there's no cross-check on this estimate yet.
- Only $2k is riding on this — light money, so the number can move easily.
- This read comes only from money-backed markets, so there's no second type of crowd to cross-check it.
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